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The global financial outlook “kinda sucks,” said UC Santa Barbara professor Peter Rupert at last Tuesday’s South County Economic Summit, with the GDPs of Germany, France, the United Kingdom, and Italy all trending downward. He explained, “‘Kinda sucks’ is an economics phrase.” “It’s what we call ‘not so good.’”
The US economy, on the other hand, “doesn’t suck,” according to Rupert. Our GDP is increasing, employment growth is solid, and household net worth is at its highest level in history. Furthermore, there are a lot of work openings. “In my opinion, the labor market is in good shape,” Rupert said. “You kissed the boss’s arse during the Great Recession. You should resign and search for another job right now because there is a vacancy for anyone who is looking.”
The $64 million question now is how long will the rebound last? “The answer?” Rupert asked, pausing for dramatic effect. “We don’t know,” says the narrator. Please accept my apologies.” He spoke about possible obstacles (Trump’s trade war with China, unfunded pension obligations, and increasing minimum wages) as well as opportunities for continued growth (independence of the Fed, the cannabis industry, the nonprofit sector).
👇 Why buy the economy sucks?
For quite some time, I’ve had a pessimistic view of the economy. The frightening thing is that I’m not really a pessimist. I see the world from the eyes of an entrepreneur… the world is full of needs and issues that need to be addressed, and through doing so, you can make the world a better place while still making a lot of money! We will continue to change the world by using creativity and invention to make it a better place for all. However, we must first recognize the challenges that our society faces in order to begin addressing and resolving them. THIS IS WHY I AM WRITING.
It all started when I first became interested in economics and investing many years ago. It doesn’t take a genius to see that there are several major issues. I’m not a doomsday prophet, but these are basic details that need to be discussed. The worst thing is that no one else seems to be paying attention to the situation! That is, until Peter Grandich published an article titled “Man Your Battle Stations” on October 14th. That was the first time I’d ever heard a non-doomsday preacher warn of impending doom. He’s the first investment guru to note and openly discuss it. AT LAST! I Really RECOMMEND THAT YOU READ IT!
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The unemployment rate in the United States fell to a half-century low in November, as employers added 266,000 jobs to their payrolls, almost 100,000 more than economists had predicted. According to revised figures from the previous two months, 41,000 more jobs were created in September and October than previously thought. Meanwhile, for the first time in nearly two decades, the underemployment rate — the number of employees who are either involuntarily trapped in part-time jobs or want jobs but aren’t actively searching for them — fell below 7%.
All of this is fantastic news. Tight labor markets aren’t a cure-all for the problems that plague America’s working class. They’re not just a band-aid, either. Many goals that liberals have failed to achieve by legislation can be advanced through a true “full employment” economy. In the United States, requiring employers to accommodate disabled employees or provide training to the under-skilled is challenging from an economic, political, and logistical standpoint (getting pro-labor laws through the Senate is Herculean; comprehensively enforcing them is Sisyphean). Engineer labor-market dynamics that transform hiring managers into beggars rather than choosers, and they’ll start generating jobs for our country’s most marginalized workers.
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The companies mentioned above represent a wide range of business networks and lines of business, so what did they all have in common? None of them were Tigers, was the response. It’s real that I’m not being sexy here. Allow me to demonstrate.
Tigers are a type of cat. Sharks are a type of shark. Crocodiles are crocodiles. Do you know what they all have in common? Nothing on the floor, right? There aren’t three species on the planet that are more dissimilar. They do, however, share one significant trait that has helped them overcome time and changes in their environments: They’re known as GENERALISTS. What does any of this have to do with my business, according to Wikipedia? There’s more to it than you thought. Can you recall the above-mentioned company list? They all had one thing in common: they were too specialized to withstand any significant economic changes. When things are going well, experts are in high demand. They are the first to suffer as the economy changes or is under stress.